DSE All-Share 3,979.24 ▲ 1.21% USD / TZS 2,632 Gold · $/oz $4,010 BoT rate 5.75% Inflation 4.0% Friday, 26 June 2026 · Delayed 15m
Tanzania Intelligence · Daily Brief

The Brief

Friday, 26 June 2026 · Vol. I · No. 177

A daily reading of the forces shaping Tanzania’s economy, markets and statecraft — and the world that moves them. Information and education, never advice.

DSE All-Share
3,979.24▲ 1.21%
DSEI · vs 25 Jun
USD / TZS
2,632
−6.1% YTD
Gold · $/oz
$4,010
as at 26 Jun
BoT rate
5.75%
3rd hold
Inflation
4.0%
Apr
Markets

DSE All-Share climbs 1.21% to 3,979 as banks drive the tape into the fiscal-year turn

Signal: The DSE All-Share rose 1.21% to 3,979.24 on 26 June, a bank-led session in which CRDB and NMB together accounted for over 80% of the day's turnover.

Why it matters: Breadth stayed narrow — MKCB led the board at +10.75% — but value concentrated in the two big banks as the market positions for the 1 July fiscal-year turn.

What to watch: Whether the selective, bank-led bid carries into the new fiscal year; the DSE's verified Week 26 index prints in early July.

Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange · as at 26 Jun 2026
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Strategy

DIRA 2050 implementation instruments launch 29 June

Signal: President Samia presides over the 29 June launch of DIRA 2050's implementation instruments in Dar es Salaam, with operational start set for 1 July.

Why it matters: The long-term plan (2026/27–2050/51), FYDP IV and the 2026/27 budget now move together, giving the USD 1tn-by-2050 ambition an execution spine.

What to watch: First strategic-project funding commitments and PPP frameworks signalled at the ceremony.

Source: Open-source reporting · as at 26 Jun 2026
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Rates

BoT holds at 5.75%; 364-day T-bill jumps to 6.92%

Signal: The Central Bank Rate stayed at 5.75% for a third straight quarter; at auction No. 1201 on 17 June the 364-day weighted-average yield cleared 6.92%, up ~54bp.

Why it matters: A steeper front end even as policy holds — the long bill richening points to expected fiscal supply ahead of the new year's borrowing programme.

What to watch: Auction No. 1202 in early July confirms whether the 364-day steepening persists.

Source: Bank of Tanzania · as at 26 Jun 2026
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Currency

Shilling steady near 2,632/USD; gold firm at ~$4,010

Signal: The Bank of Tanzania official mean held near 2,632/USD into the fiscal-year turn, down roughly 6.1% YTD, while global gold traded firm around $4,010/oz.

Why it matters: A stable shilling and elevated gold — exports up 38.5% y/y — underpin official reserves of about USD 6.08bn as DIRA 2050 spending begins.

What to watch: Whether FX stability holds once 1 July budget measures and arrears clearance begin.

Source: Bank of Tanzania · as at 26 Jun 2026
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Fiscal

TRA beats target with TZS 28tn collected in nine months

Signal: TRA collected TZS 28.0tn from July 2025–March 2026 against a TZS 26.8tn target; the Jan–Mar quarter alone was TZS 9.31tn, up 23.6% year-on-year.

Why it matters: The overshoot helps fund the TZS 1.2tn arrears clearance without leaning harder on borrowing as the record FY2026/27 budget takes effect.

What to watch: TZS 1.2tn arrears disbursement and any domestic-borrowing pressure on yields after 1 July.

Source: Open-source reporting · as at 26 Jun 2026
The Ghost

The model book

The Ghost's hypothetical TZS 500m book is +2.19% since inception, with NMB Bank its largest equity position.

Open the Ghost tracker →
What to watch
  • DIRA 2050 implementation instruments launch ceremony29 Jun 2026
  • FY2026/27 budget & DIRA 2050 take legal effect1 Jul 2026
  • Next BoT T-bill auction No. 1202Early Jul 2026
  • DSE verified index for 26 Jun + Week 26 reportsEarly Jul 2026

Compiled from open-source reporting for information and education only — not investment advice. Equity and index figures reconcile to the Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange verified close; rates, FX and gold to the Bank of Tanzania. Figures are as reported and require refresh against official data.