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Permanent edition · Vol. I · No. 242

The Brief

Tuesday, 1 September 2026

A frozen reading of Tanzania's markets, capital and policy. Figures remain bound to their stated observations; this archive never inherits a newer market tape.

DSE All-Share

4,440.47

As at DSEI · 31 Aug close · daily move

Tanzania Share Index

9,897.20

As at TSI · 31 Aug close · daily move

USD / TZS

2,639.75

As at BoT mean · 1 Sep sheet

BoT rate

6.25%

As at CBR · Q3 2026

Inflation

4.2%

As at NBS · July 2026 headline

This edition in 60 seconds

  1. 01Monday eased while one bank carried most trading value
  2. 02Both verified DSE indices edged lower on Monday
  3. 03NMB supplied 86% of Monday equity turnover

More money traded, but liquidity stayed narrow

Monday eased while one bank carried most trading value

Signal

4,440.47 and 9,897.20 fell 0.09% and 0.27%; NMB supplied 86.0% of TZS 14.889bn equity turnover.

Why it matters

Trading value increased, but most money passed through one bank. The headline total did not describe equally broad liquidity.

What to watch

The next verified close tests whether value spreads beyond NMB and whether more traded counters rise than fall.

Did the domestic market and the headline index tell the same story over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

As at 31 Aug 2026 · Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

Market direction

Both verified DSE indices edged lower on Monday

Signal

DSEI fell 0.09% and TSI fell 0.27% from 28 to 31 August.

Why it matters

Both indices eased, but returns across the unexplained 26 August scale break remain unavailable.

What to watch

The next official DSE notice is the test for the unresolved index-method break.

Equity liquidity

NMB supplied 86% of Monday equity turnover

Signal

NMB supplied TZS 12.798bn of the verified TZS 14.889bn equity turnover.

Why it matters

Twenty counters traded, but NMB carried most value. Higher turnover did not mean broad liquidity.

What to watch

The next verified close tests whether value spreads beyond one bank.

Zanzibar power infrastructure

An AfDB-backed cable project moved into equipment tendering

Signal

AfDB published a tender for last-mile materials under the Zanzibar Submarine Power Cable Project.

Why it matters

The notice opens supplier bidding under an existing project. It is not a new financing commitment.

What to watch

Lot awards, contract values and named suppliers are the next evidence tests.

Source: African Development Bank procurement notice · published 2026-08-31

Go deeper

Foreign exchange

The official USD/TZS mean stayed near its recent low

Signal

The BoT mean was 2,639.7469 on 1 September, little changed from 2,639.8763 on 28 August.

Why it matters

Both observations sat near the low end of the latest 30-observation range. This does not establish a new regime.

What to watch

The next dated BoT sheet tests whether the mean leaves its narrow recent range.

The Ghost · edition context

The model-book allocation read

The Ghost hypothetical model ledger is +13.28% since inception at its 31 August mark. Monday's NMB close affected the model record, while index returns across the basis break remain unavailable.

Open the current Ghost tracker →

What this edition watched

  1. Next verified DSE close

    Tests whether turnover broadens beyond NMB and whether more traded counters rise than fall.

    After official DSE publication

  2. DSE index method

    A source explanation is required before restoring returns across the 26 August discontinuity.

    At the next official DSE notice

  3. Zanzibar cable awards

    Named suppliers and contract values would show how the tender moves into execution.

    At the next AfDB procurement notice

  4. USD/TZS mean

    Tests whether the official mean moves beyond its narrow recent range.

    At the next dated BoT sheet

Information and education only, not advice or a forecast. Market figures cover the DSE verified close of 31 Aug 2026. Other observations retain their own source dates.