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Permanent edition · Vol. I · No. 241

The Brief

Monday, 31 August 2026

A frozen reading of Tanzania's markets, capital and policy. Figures remain bound to their stated observations; this archive never inherits a newer market tape.

DSE All-Share

4,444.48

As at DSEI · 28 Aug close · daily move

Tanzania Share Index

9,924.23

As at TSI · 28 Aug close · daily move

USD / TZS

2,639.88

As at BoT mean · 31 Aug sheet

BoT rate

6.25%

As at CBR · Q3 2026

Inflation

4.2%

As at NBS · July 2026 headline

This edition in 60 seconds

  1. 01Friday rose, but one bank still carried most trading value
  2. 02NMB supplied more than four fifths of Friday equity turnover
  3. 03Auction 1205 lowered every verified Treasury bill tenor

Comparable gains, narrow trading and lower bill yields

Friday rose, but one bank still carried most trading value

Signal

4,444.48 and 9,924.23 rose 1.36% and 2.01% from comparable Thursday levels; NMB supplied 83.8% of TZS 10.200bn turnover.

Why it matters

The index gains were valid, but seven counters rose and nine fell while one bank carried most value.

What to watch

The next official close tests whether traded value spreads beyond NMB and whether more counters rise than fall.

Did the domestic market and the headline index tell the same story over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

As at 28 Aug 2026 · Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

Equity liquidity

NMB supplied more than four fifths of Friday equity turnover

Signal

NMB supplied TZS 8.543bn of the verified TZS 10.200bn equity turnover on 28 August.

Why it matters

Twenty counters traded, but NMB carried 83.8% of value while seven counters rose and nine fell.

What to watch

The next verified close tests whether value spreads beyond one counter and whether breadth improves.

Sovereign rates

Auction 1205 lowered every verified Treasury bill tenor

Signal

The 91-day and 364-day yields fell 4.29 and 9.49 basis points from Auction 1204; the 182-day decline was larger at 12.57 basis points.

Why it matters

All four tenors moved lower, but one auction does not establish a lasting rate cycle.

What to watch

The next dated BoT bill result tests whether the all-tenor decline persists.

Foreign exchange

The official USD/TZS mean moved only slightly through the weekend

Signal

The BoT USD/TZS mean was 2,639.8763 on 31 August, 0.13% below the 27 August observation.

Why it matters

The move was small and stayed inside the recent official range. It does not establish a new currency regime.

What to watch

The next dated BoT sheet tests whether the mean moves beyond its narrow recent range.

The Ghost · edition context

The model-book allocation read

The Ghost’s hypothetical model ledger is +13.35% since inception at its 28 August mark. Friday’s NMB close affected the model record, while index returns across the basis break remain unavailable.

Open the current Ghost tracker →

What this edition watched

  1. Next verified DSE close

    Tests whether turnover broadens beyond NMB and whether market breadth improves.

    After official DSE publication

  2. DSE index method

    A source explanation is required before restoring returns across the 26 August discontinuity.

    At the next official DSE notice

  3. Treasury bill auction

    Tests whether the decline across all four tenors persists.

    At the next dated BoT result

  4. USD/TZS mean

    Tests whether the official mean moves beyond its narrow recent range.

    At the next dated BoT sheet

Information and education only, not advice or a forecast. Market figures cover the DSE verified close of 28 Aug 2026. Other observations retain their own source dates.