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Published visual research

Data Insights

Bite-sized charts and explainers drawn from KCP's governed market, public-source and hypothetical research records.

A new insight is appended only when an eligible source record advances. Source dates remain independent and no observation is restamped to fill a publishing calendar.

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Published insights

Latest publication10
2026-07-29: 9 advanced, 12 declined-32026-07-30: 6 advanced, 15 declined-92026-07-31: 8 advanced, 10 declined-22026-08-03: 5 advanced, 11 declined-62026-08-04: 8 advanced, 8 declined02026-08-05: 9 advanced, 6 declined+32026-08-06: 10 advanced, 8 declined+22026-08-07: 9 advanced, 7 declined+22026-08-10: 11 advanced, 6 declined+52026-08-11: 7 advanced, 10 declined-32026-08-12: 11 advanced, 5 declined+62026-08-13: 9 advanced, 7 declined+22026-08-14: 10 advanced, 7 declined+32026-08-17: 16 advanced, 5 declined+112026-08-18: 6 advanced, 13 declined-72026-08-19: 10 advanced, 6 declined+42026-08-20: 7 advanced, 6 declined+12026-08-21: 7 advanced, 7 declined02026-08-24: 9 advanced, 7 declined+22026-08-26: 11 advanced, 8 declined+329 Jul 202626 Aug 2026
Net breadth across the latest twenty verified sessions

▣ Today

How often has DSE breadth been positive recently?

Advancers outnumbered decliners in 12 of the latest 20 sessions

Each tile compares advancing and declining counters for one verified session. The sequence reveals persistence and reversals that a single close cannot show.

Why it matters: Repeatedly broad gains can indicate wider market participation, while mixed sessions warn that an index move may not reflect most counters.

Method and limitation

Green tiles have more advancers, red tiles have more decliners and neutral tiles are tied. Tone intensity reflects the absolute breadth gap, not return size.

Primary-backed69 · 38.76%Other evidence109 · 61.24%
Current Wire clusters by primary-evidence coverage

How much of the current Wire archive has primary evidence?

69 of 178 opportunity clusters include primary evidence

Primary-backed clusters contain at least one official, regulator or issuer record. The remainder can still be useful signals, but they require a different level of caution.

Why it matters: This helps readers judge the documentary strength of KCP's coverage, but it does not indicate which opportunities are more attractive.

Method and limitation

The strip separates current governed clusters by the presence of at least one primary-evidence record. It measures evidence coverage, not confidence, impact or investability.

policy55energy35corridors30mobile tech14capital markets13agriculture8
Current clusters by governed theme

Which theme occupies the largest share of the current Wire record?

policy accounts for 55 of 178 tracked opportunity clusters

This is a count of current evidence clusters, not a measure of investment size, probability or attractiveness. A large category can reflect repeated reporting rather than realised capital deployment.

Why it matters: This describes KCP's coverage mix, not the relative size or attractiveness of Tanzania's investment opportunities.

Method and limitation

The chart counts the governed theme assigned to each current Wire cluster. Clusters reconcile multiple source reports and are counted once.

Contributed capital: 514514Contributed capitalMarket result: 56+56Market resultCurrent NAV: 570570Current NAV
TZS millions from contributed capital to hypothetical NAV

What separates contributed capital from the Ghost's current value?

A TZS 0.06bn hypothetical market result bridges capital to NAV

TZS 0.51bn of contributed capital plus the cumulative hypothetical market result equals TZS 0.57bn of current NAV. This is an educational model record, not an investable return.

Why it matters: Separating contributions from market gains prevents fresh capital from being mistaken for investment performance.

Method and limitation

The waterfall reconciles contributed capital, cumulative hypothetical market profit or loss, and current NAV. It does not treat external contributions as investment performance.

8.42%11.05%29 Jul 202626 Aug 2026
Flow-adjusted return since inception

How has the public Ghost record changed?

The hypothetical Ghost model book closed at +11.05% since inception

The flow-adjusted public record ended at TZS 0.57bn against TZS 0.51bn of contributed capital. This is a transparent educational model, not a fund, account or recommendation.

Why it matters: The flow-adjusted record separates portfolio performance from cash additions, making changes through time easier to interpret.

Method and limitation

Returns use the Modified Dietz method to account for external contributions. Holdings are hypothetical and use verified DSE closes for their stated dates.

2,4672,64527 Aug 202527 Aug 2026
Tanzanian shillings per US dollar

How has the shilling moved against the US dollar?

The official USD/TZS mean is +7.22% from the exact year-ago boundary

A higher USD/TZS rate means a weaker shilling. The chart retains the exact prior-year boundary and the last official observation in each month.

Why it matters: Shilling moves affect import costs, foreign-currency obligations and the translated value of Tanzanian assets for overseas investors.

Method and limitation

The comparison uses official Bank of Tanzania indicative mean rates. It does not interpolate missing dates or describe dealer execution prices.

35 days: 2.09%2.09%35 days91 days: 3.40%3.40%91 days182 days: 5.05%5.05%182 days364 days: 6.65%6.65%364 days
Weighted-average yield by Treasury-bill tenor

How did the latest bill auction price time?

Published yields rose from 2.09% at 35 days to 6.65% at 364 days

The latest auction paid progressively higher weighted-average yields across the four published tenors. This is one auction's curve, not a forecast of future rates.

Why it matters: The gap between short and longer tenors shows how much additional yield the latest auction offered for committing cash for longer.

Method and limitation

Dots are published Bank of Tanzania weighted-average auction yields for the same auction date. Connecting lines aid comparison only and do not imply tradable values between tenors.

8.42%6.65%2 Jul 202526 Aug 2026
364-day weighted-average auction yield

What is the one-year sovereign benchmark doing?

The 364-day bill yield is 6.65% after falling 0.09 percentage points

Published auction yields are observations, not a daily curve. The chart follows the local one-year sovereign benchmark across the retained auction record.

Why it matters: This benchmark helps investors compare the return available from short-term government paper with other local-currency opportunities.

Method and limitation

Each point is a published Bank of Tanzania auction result. Gaps between auctions are retained and no daily values are interpolated.

32.70%CRDBCRDB32.70%All others67.30%
Share of verified DSE session turnover

How concentrated was trading in the latest DSE session?

CRDB accounted for 32.70% of session turnover

The leading counter represented TZS 4.21bn of the session's TZS 12.86bn turnover. A high share describes where trading occurred, not market quality or future direction.

Why it matters: High concentration means the headline turnover figure may say more about one counter than about market-wide liquidity.

Method and limitation

The ring divides verified total session turnover between the leading counter and all other counters. It does not infer the identity or intent of buyers and sellers.

ADVANCEDDECLINED2026-08-10: 11 advanced2026-08-10: 6 declined2026-08-11: 7 advanced2026-08-11: 10 declined2026-08-12: 11 advanced2026-08-12: 5 declined2026-08-13: 9 advanced2026-08-13: 7 declined2026-08-14: 10 advanced2026-08-14: 7 declined2026-08-17: 16 advanced2026-08-17: 5 declined2026-08-18: 6 advanced2026-08-18: 13 declined2026-08-19: 10 advanced2026-08-19: 6 declined2026-08-20: 7 advanced2026-08-20: 6 declined2026-08-21: 7 advanced2026-08-21: 7 declined2026-08-24: 9 advanced2026-08-24: 7 declined2026-08-26: 11 advanced2026-08-26: 8 declined10 Aug 202626 Aug 2026
Advancing and declining counters by session

Did the latest DSE session have broad participation?

11 counters advanced as the DSEI rose 1.11%

11 counters advanced, 8 declined and 9 were unchanged. CRDB carried 32.70% of TZS 12.86bn in session turnover. The domestic TSI rose 1.62%.

Why it matters: Broad participation makes an index move more representative of the wider market, while narrow participation can signal dependence on a few counters.

Method and limitation

Breadth counts and turnover come from the verified DSE session ledger. The chart shows advances above zero and declines below zero for the latest twelve sessions. It does not infer why prices moved.