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KCP.

The Brief · Friday, 9 October 2026 · Vol. I · No. 279

Share-price measures fell on a quieter trading day

Both main share-price measures fell on Thursday. Less money changed hands, with most trading in two banks.

Covers 8 Oct 2026 verified close · Published 2026-10-09 · Read the lead · Soma kwa Kiswahili

The edition’s key figures

This edition in 60 seconds

  1. Market recordShare-price measures fell on a quieter trading dayRead →
  2. Capital recordAcross Tanzania’s marketsRead →
  3. Share tradingTwo banks accounted for most of a quieter day's tradingRead →
  4. CurrencyThe dollar reference uses fewer shillingsRead →

The lead · 8 Oct 2026 verified close

Share-price measures fell on a quieter trading day

Signal

Both main share-price measures fell on Thursday. Less money changed hands, with most trading in two banks.

The evidence

DSE All-Share 4,589.65 (-0.46%); Tanzania Share Index 10,122.76 (-0.73%). Share trading value was TZS 1.99bn, rounded.

What to watch

Trading value measures money exchanged for shares. It cannot establish investor motives or the number of rising shares.

Close anatomy · 2026-10-08

Was the session’s fall broadly shared?

How widely did prices move?

4 rose · 9 fell

4 rose · 9 fell · 8 unchanged

21 of 28 listed shares traded; 7 had no trades.

DSE · 2026-10-08

Where did the money trade?

87.2% in three shares

NMB 43.5% · CRDB 40.3% · VODA 3.4% · Others 12.8%

Share of equity turnover: TZS 1.99bn.

DSE · 2026-10-08
Largest rises
MCB+2.63%
PAL+1.67%
MKCB+0.54%
Largest falls, traded shares
TCCL-7.32%
TOL-3.35%
AFRIPRISE-2.04%

Index anatomy · Consecutive closes

Which shares explain the gap?

7 Oct 2026 to 8 Oct 2026. KCP market-cap decomposition, reconciled to the official index gap.

Index change · %

TSI · domestic−0.73%
DSEI · all−0.46%
−0.27 ppDomestic shares underperformed the full listed market.

Contribution to the index gap · pp

NMB−0.11
TCCL−0.06
EABL−0.04
Others, net−0.05
Official index gap−0.27 pp

NMB, TCCL, EABL have the largest absolute contributions, including offsetting effects. This is not a valuation judgment.

Method and limits

Domestic names: cap change divided by starting domestic cap, minus cap change divided by starting all-market cap. Cross-listed names: subtract the all-market component. KCP checks every company, the implied share basis and each cap-total/index relationship at every retained verified close in the period. This is not official DSE company attribution. Turnover does not enter the calculation. Incompatible basis changes withhold the calculation.

Contributions are rounded; small unallocated residual: -0.000053 pp. No balancing adjustment is applied.

Coverage: 28 companies. KCP classification dated 2026-09-03.

All contributions, percentage points
Sharepp
AFRIPRISE-0.002451
CRDB-0.029232
DCB0.000000
DSE-0.000806
EABL-0.039358
JATU0.000000
JHL0.000000
KA0.000000
KCB0.000000
MBP-0.001007
MCB0.002775
MKCB0.000526
MUCOBA0.000000
NICO-0.000694
NMB-0.111915
NMG0.000000
PAL0.000895
SWALA0.000000
SWIS0.000403
TBL-0.016519
TCC0.000000
TCCL-0.064127
TOL-0.003861
TPCC0.000000
TTP0.000000
USL0.000000
VODA0.000000
YETU0.000000

Capital System Pulse

Across Tanzania’s markets

Six readings, each with its own date. Price and NAV changes do not establish capital flows.

Which ETF grew faster?

IEACLC +13.1%

DSE closing-price change, 2026-07-08 to 2026-10-08. VIS −1.5%. Not total return.

Share trading

Two banks accounted for most of a quieter day's trading

Signal

Share trading value fell from TZS 5.68bn on Wednesday to 1.99bn on Thursday, rounded.

Evidence

NMB and CRDB accounted for 83.8% of the total, rounded. That shows where money changed hands, not why people traded.

What to watch

The next report can show whether activity spreads across more companies. Its publication time is unconfirmed.

Currency

The dollar reference uses fewer shillings

Signal

Friday's dollar reference needs fewer shillings than Thursday's. It is provisional, and customer exchange prices can differ.

Why it matters

Bank of Tanzania's provisional mean is TZS 2,631.3587 per US dollar on 2026-10-09. It is an indicative reference.

What to watch

A finalized 9 October currency sheet would test this provisional observation. Its publication time is unconfirmed.

Opportunity Wire

Steady inflation does not mean steady prices

Signal

Prices kept rising at the same annual pace in September. Transport costs rose faster than the overall basket.

Why it matters

Mainland consumer prices rose 4.3% over the year to September; transport rose 14.0%. Household costs depend on what each household buys.

What to watch

The National Bureau of Statistics schedules the October release for 9 November. It will show the next monthly and annual changes.

What to watch

The next tests, without prediction

  1. Next DSE share-trading report

    Shows how changes in share prices and the spread of trading develop.

    Next official session; publication time unconfirmed

  2. Finalized 9 October Bank of Tanzania currency sheet

    Tests the provisional dollar reference against a final observation.

    Publication time unconfirmed

  3. October Mainland consumer-price release

    Separates monthly price changes from the annual comparison.

    9 November 2026, scheduled by NBS

Editor’s note

I keep the quieter share market separate from the September price report. Trading totals do not establish investor motives, and the Mainland price basket does not describe every household. I selected the official price release because it distinguishes the overall pace from transport costs. The dollar reference retains its separate 9 October date and provisional status.

Information and education only, not advice or a forecast. DSE close: 8 October 2026. Other observations retain their own source dates.