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Permanent edition · Vol. I · No. 217

The Brief

Wednesday, 5 August 2026

A frozen reading of Tanzania's economy, markets and statecraft. Figures remain bound to their stated observations; this archive never inherits a newer market tape.

DSE All-Share

4,182.69

As at DSEI · 4 Aug close · latest verified

Tanzania Share Index

9,179.14

As at TSI · 4 Aug close · domestic board

USD / TZS

2,643.57

As at BoT mean · 5 Aug sheet

BoT rate

6.25%

As at CBR · Q3 2026

Inflation

4.0%

As at NBS · June 2026 headline

This edition in 60 seconds

  1. 01Breadth balanced, but CRDB and NMB still carried 73.0% of turnover
  2. 02Three counters supplied 84.1% of the verified session's turnover
  3. 03The seven-day interbank rate moved 19bp above the CBR

Verified close

Breadth balanced, but CRDB and NMB still carried 73.0% of turnover

Signal

4,182.69 fell 0.11% and 9,179.14 0.23%; TZS 5.059bn traded, with 73.0% in CRDB and NMB.

Why it matters

Twenty-one of 28 names traded and advancers matched decliners at eight each. Participation improved, but the distribution of money remained concentrated.

What to watch

Whether the 5 August verified close preserves balanced breadth while value spreads beyond the two leading banks.

Did the domestic market and the headline index tell the same story over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

As at 4 Aug 2026 · Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

Tape

Three counters supplied 84.1% of the verified session's turnover

Signal

CRDB supplied 41.6%, NMB 31.4% and Vodacom 11.0% of TZS 5.059bn in verified equity turnover.

Why it matters

Twenty-one counters traded, yet the top three supplied 84.1% of value. Counter participation and the distribution of distributable liquidity remained different signals.

What to watch

The 5 August close tests whether the top-three share falls while traded-counter participation holds.

Rates

The seven-day interbank rate moved 19bp above the CBR

Signal

BoT's seven-day IBCM rate was 6.44% on 4 August versus the 6.25% CBR; the latest 91-day bill remained 3.3472%.

Why it matters

Interbank pricing sat above the policy anchor while the 91-day bill remained about 290bp below it. These are observations from different dates, not a same-day yield curve.

What to watch

The next verified IBCM observation and Treasury-bill result test whether the split narrows or persists.

Regional markets

East African exchanges set a 50 million-investor target for 2030

Signal

The 36th EASEA meeting adopted a strategy targeting 50 million active regional investors by 2030 from approximately four million today.

Why it matters

Harmonised cross-listing, product diversification and post-trade tokenisation could reduce regional market friction, but the document carries no ratified rule change or binding capital.

What to watch

Concrete EASRA rule harmonisation or a named interoperability pilot would move the roadmap from strategic alignment toward execution.

Source: DSE · 36th EASEA meeting strategy · published 2026-08-04

Go deeper

FX

BoT's USD/TZS mean fell 0.10% after Tuesday's 0.02% rise

Signal

The official 5 August mean was TZS 2,643.5679 per US dollar, down from 2,646.3143 on 4 August.

Why it matters

The two latest daily changes had opposite signs and were both small. A one-day reversal does not establish a durable currency trend.

What to watch

The next official BoT indicative-rate sheet tests whether the mean extends or reverses the latest move.

The Ghost · edition context

The model-book allocation read

The Ghost's hypothetical TZS 500m model book is +8.16% since inception at its 4 Aug mark. Balanced breadth, concentrated turnover, split rate signals and small two-way FX moves update the risk map — not trades.

Tape read: The hypothetical model book ended 4 August at +8.16% since inception. Balanced breadth sits beside concentrated equity turnover, while the interbank-to-bill gap and two-way FX changes keep funding and currency conditions visible. These are educational terrain observations, never positions or recommendations.

Open the current Ghost tracker →

What this edition watched

  1. DSE breadth and turnover distribution

    The 4 August close had eight advancers and eight decliners, but CRDB and NMB still supplied 73.0% of equity turnover.

    after the 5 Aug session

  2. Next verified seven-day IBCM observation

    The 4 August rate was 6.44%, 19bp above the 6.25% CBR and 37bp above the prior observation.

    next BoT dashboard observation

  3. EASEA implementation evidence

    The 50 million-investor goal remains a strategy until a ratified rule change, named pilot or executable cross-listing pipeline appears.

    date not announced

  4. Next official BoT indicative-rate sheet

    The 5 August USD/TZS mean fell 0.10% after a 0.02% rise; the next observation tests whether that reversal extends.

    date not asserted

  5. Next verified BoT Treasury-bill result

    Auction No. 1203 remains the latest verified result, with the 91-day yield about 290bp below the 6.25% CBR.

    date not announced

Compiled from public sources for information and education only — not investment advice, a forecast or a recommendation. Equity, index, breadth and turnover figures reconcile to the DSE verified close (4 Aug 2026); rates and FX use Bank of Tanzania publications, and inflation uses NBS. The current Wire hand-off was read first and contained two primary-grade cards. The EASEA strategy card was retained after primary-source review; its 50 million target is not treated as binding capital or a ratified rule change. The TCC filing card was omitted because its primary PDF exposed no machine-extractable financial figures; no earnings inference is made. The 5 August USD/TZS observation is kept separate from the 4 August DSE close, and the dated interbank and Treasury-bill observations are not presented as a same-day curve. No foreign-flow split is inferred from the official DSE snapshot. Undated checkpoints remain explicitly undated. For live levels see Markets.