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Weekly visual edition · Vol. I · No. 239

The Weekly Brief

Saturday, 29 August 2026

A frozen reading of Tanzania's markets, capital and policy. Figures remain bound to their stated observations; this archive never inherits a newer market tape.

DSE All-Share

4,444.48

As at DSEI · 28 Aug close · daily move

Tanzania Share Index

9,924.23

As at TSI · 28 Aug close · daily move

USD / TZS

2,639.88

As at BoT mean · 29 Aug sheet

BoT rate

6.25%

As at CBR · Q3 2026

Inflation

4.2%

As at NBS · July 2026 headline

This edition in 90 seconds

  1. 01Index returns stayed unavailable as Friday liquidity remained concentrated
  2. 02Official levels survived the week, but a cross-break return did not
  3. 03NMB carried 83.8% of Friday turnover

The week in review

Index returns stayed unavailable as Friday liquidity remained concentrated

Signal

4,444.48 and 9,924.23 are official Friday levels, but weekly returns are unavailable; NMB carried 83.8% of Friday turnover.

Why it matters

The index basis broke during the week, and no verified 25 August row exists for a complete weekly turnover aggregate.

What to watch

An official DSE methodology notice and complete session evidence are required before weekly comparisons resume.

The visual flagship · seven linked lenses

One week. One market story. Seven ways to test it.

Start with DSEI versus TSI, then test the money, breadth, rates, currency, hypothetical model-book terrain and household transmission chain. Every lens stays frozen to this edition's stated observations.

Did the domestic market and the headline index tell the same story over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

As at 28 Aug 2026 · Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

02 · Turnover concentration

How much traded, and how much did one counter carry?

The week’s money had 4 very different shapes.

As at 2026-08-28
Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange

Session turnover Leading counter shareExplainTurnover concentrationShare of turnover in the leading counterTurnover concentration is the share of total traded value accounted for by one counter or a stated group of counters.How it is calculatedSelected counter turnover ÷ total session turnover × 100.What it does not meanA high share does not establish unusual demand, fair value or repeatable liquidity.Source or method: KCP calculation from DSE traded valueSee it in contextOpen the full glossaryDefinition only · information and education, not advice

52.37bn shillings traded across 4 sessions, but the darker segment shows why activity and breadth are different questions.

03 · Breadth map

Did the board move with the headline?

10 advanced. 12 declined. The index hid the split.

As at 2026-08-28
Source: DSE verified close history

10 upExplainDirectional breadthShare of moving counters that advancedDirectional breadth is the share of counters with a price move that advanced rather than declined.How it is calculatedAdvancers ÷ (advancers + decliners). Unchanged and non-trading counters are excluded.What it does not meanIt is not the share of all listed counters, and it says nothing about how much money traded in each name.Source or method: KCP calculation from DSE close countsSee it in contextOpen the full glossaryDefinition only · information and education, not advice12 down= 6 unchanged

Only counters with a close inside the weekly window and a prior comparable close enter this map. Names without an in-window print are excluded, not labelled unchanged.

04 · Rates hurdle

What did safe local-currency paper yield?

The short end sat below policy; the 364-day point cleared it.

As at 2026-08-26
Source: Bank of Tanzania

Central Bank Rate6.25%
2026-08-28
91D3.40%
2026-08-26
182D5.05%
2026-08-26
364D6.65%
2026-08-26

The comparison is a hurdle-rate lens, not a ranking or recommendation. Tenor, duration, liquidity and reinvestment remain different across the instruments shown.

05 · Local vs hard currency

What remained after translating the week through USD/TZS?

A softer shilling reduced, but did not erase; the index gains.

As at 2026-08-28
Source: DSE and Bank of Tanzania

DSEI

Local-currency index change+4.58%
Mechanical USD translation+4.72%

TSI

Local-currency index change+6.47%
Mechanical USD translation+6.62%

USD/TZS weakened -0.14% over the matched weekly window. The hard-currency line is (1 + local index change) ÷ (1 + FX change) − 1; it is an index translation, not an investable portfolio return, and excludes dividends, costs and tax.

06 · Ghost terrain impact

Which evidence changed the hypothetical model-book risk map?

The week changed the terrain, not the mandate.

As at 2026-08-28
Source: KCP Weekly Brief and stated public authorities

The Ghost is a hypothetical educational model book. This panel explains terrain impact on its model-book allocation; it is not a signal, instruction or recommendation.

07 · Cost-of-living chain

How can currency pressure travel toward the household basket?

Four clocks. One transmission chain. No forecast.

As at 2026-08-28
Source: BoT · EWURA · MIT · NBS

Each link keeps its own authority and observation clock. The layout shows plausible transmission channels; it does not claim that one observation caused the next.

Index integrity

Official levels survived the week, but a cross-break return did not

Signal

4,444.48 and 9,924.23 are the official 28 August levels; returns across the 26 August scale discontinuity remain unavailable.

Why it matters

Keeping official levels while withholding a non-comparable return prevents a measurement break from becoming a false market move.

What to watch

What carries forward: an official DSE methodology notice or a clean comparable series before return calculations resume.

Friday liquidity

NMB carried 83.8% of Friday turnover

Signal

Friday equity turnover was TZS 10.200bn; NMB supplied TZS 8.543bn and CRDB supplied TZS 1.304bn.

Why it matters

Twenty counters traded, but the two banks supplied 96.5% of value, so the session was liquid in headline size and narrow in distribution.

What to watch

What carries forward: whether the next verified session spreads value beyond NMB and CRDB.

Comparable companies

MBP led comparable weekly gains while MCB led declines

Signal

Excluding NMB's subdivision break, 10 of 27 comparable counters rose, 11 fell and six were unchanged Friday-to-Friday.

Why it matters

The company tape stayed dispersed even though index-level weekly returns were unavailable; comparability was preserved ticker by ticker.

What to watch

What carries forward: whether the largest endpoint moves retain trading support in the next verified sessions.

Source: DSE official close history · first seen 2026-08-28

Go deeper

Sovereign rates

Every Treasury bill tenor cleared below the preceding auction

Signal

Auction 1205 yields fell by 3.56 to 12.57 basis points across the 35-day, 91-day, 182-day and 364-day tenors.

Why it matters

The 364-day yield closed at 6.6492%, 39.9 basis points above the 6.25% CBR; one auction does not establish a lasting cycle.

What to watch

What carries forward: the next dated BoT bill auction tests whether the all-tenor decline persists.

FX and gold

The shilling strengthened slightly while gold ended higher

Signal

BoT USD/TZS fell 0.16% from 21 to 29 August; Mining Commission world gold rose 1.34% from 21 to 28 August.

Why it matters

Both moves were modest and source-dated; neither overrides the unresolved comparability problem in the equity indices.

What to watch

What carries forward: whether the next official FX and mineral-price observations extend either move.

Port throughput

Dar port carried a measurable operating gain into the weekend

Signal

TPA reported 30.8mn tonnes in the first 11 months of FY2025/26, above 27.7mn tonnes in all of FY2024/25.

Why it matters

The achieved volume is evidence of higher throughput, while the 33.7mn-tonne full-year figure remains a projection.

What to watch

What carries forward: final full-year tonnage, cargo mix, dwell time and rail share on their own official dates.

Source: Tanzania Ports Authority · first seen 2026-08-26

Go deeper

The Ghost · edition context

The model-book allocation read

The Ghost remains a hypothetical education layer at +13.35% since inception. The week changed the evidence terrain through an index-basis break, concentrated Friday liquidity and lower auction yields, not through a clean cross-asset signal.

Open the current Ghost tracker →

What this edition watched

  1. DSE index methodology

    Restore weekly index returns only after the basis discontinuity is resolved.

    Next official notice

  2. DSE turnover distribution

    Test whether value spreads beyond the two banks that supplied 96.5% on Friday.

    Next verified session

  3. BoT bill auction

    Test whether lower yields persist before treating one auction as a durable change.

    Next official auction

  4. Dar port final outturn

    Separate achieved full-year throughput from the current projection.

    Next official TPA release

Information and education only. This Weekly Brief covers the verified DSE window from 24 Aug to 28 Aug 2026 and is frozen to the verified close (28 Aug 2026). A complete weekly turnover aggregate and cross-break index returns are unavailable. It is not investment advice, a recommendation or a solicitation. For live market updates, see Markets.