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DSEI4,597.48+0.17%DSETSI10,142.06+0.19%DSEUSD/TZS2,630.89−0.02%ProvisionalBoT364-DAY BILL6.28%−1 bpBoTCPI4.3% y/y0.0 ppNBS
KCP.

The Brief · Monday, 12 October 2026 · Vol. I · No. 281

Share prices rose, but the gains were uneven

The main share-price measures rose on Friday. Gains differed across sectors, so the rise was not equally strong everywhere.

Covers 9 Oct 2026 verified close · Published 2026-10-12 · Read the lead · Soma kwa Kiswahili

The edition’s key figures

This edition in 60 seconds

  1. Market recordShare prices rose, but the gains were unevenRead →
  2. Capital recordAcross Tanzania’s marketsRead →
  3. Share pricesSector gains differed within Friday’s riseRead →
  4. CurrencyThe dollar reference is provisionalRead →

The lead · 9 Oct 2026 verified close

Share prices rose, but the gains were uneven

Signal

The main share-price measures rose on Friday. Gains differed across sectors, so the rise was not equally strong everywhere.

The evidence

All shares rose 0.17%; domestic shares 0.19%. DSEI closed at 4,597.48, TSI at 10,142.06 on 9 October.

What to watch

Price measures describe weighted changes, not how many companies rose or why investors traded. The next close tests continuity.

Close anatomy · 2026-10-09

Was the session’s fall broadly shared?

How widely did prices move?

8 rose · 7 fell

8 rose · 7 fell · 6 unchanged

21 of 28 listed shares traded; 7 had no trades.

DSE · 2026-10-09

Where did the money trade?

93.6% in three shares

NMB 46.3% · CRDB 43.6% · NICO 3.7% · Others 6.4%

Share of equity turnover: TZS 3.85bn.

DSE · 2026-10-09
Largest rises
TOL+6.36%
MBP+6.15%
NICO+2.17%
Largest falls, traded shares
MUCOBA-14.44%
PAL-4.92%
AFRIPRISE-1.39%

Index anatomy · Consecutive closes

Which shares explain the gap?

8 Oct 2026 to 9 Oct 2026. KCP market-cap decomposition, reconciled to the official index gap.

Index change · %

TSI · domestic+0.19%
DSEI · all+0.17%
+0.02 ppDomestic shares outperformed the full listed market.

Contribution to the index gap · pp

EABL−0.04
CRDB+0.03
VODA+0.03
Others, net+0.00
Official index gap+0.02 pp

EABL, CRDB, VODA have the largest absolute contributions, including offsetting effects. This is not a valuation judgment.

Method and limits

Domestic names: cap change divided by starting domestic cap, minus cap change divided by starting all-market cap. Cross-listed names: subtract the all-market component. KCP checks every company, the implied share basis and each cap-total/index relationship at every retained verified close in the period. This is not official DSE company attribution. Turnover does not enter the calculation. Incompatible basis changes withhold the calculation.

Contributions are rounded; small unallocated residual: 0.000096 pp. No balancing adjustment is applied.

Coverage: 28 companies. KCP classification dated 2026-09-03.

All contributions, percentage points
Sharepp
AFRIPRISE-0.001667
CRDB0.029621
DCB-0.001089
DSE0.000272
EABL-0.039541
JATU0.000000
JHL0.000000
KA0.000000
KCB0.000000
MBP0.004083
MCB-0.001406
MKCB0.001610
MUCOBA-0.002404
NICO0.005591
NMB0.000000
NMG0.000000
PAL-0.002722
SWALA0.000000
SWIS0.000000
TBL-0.006691
TCC0.002268
TCCL0.000000
TOL0.007167
TPCC0.000000
TTP-0.000533
USL0.000000
VODA0.025403
YETU0.000000

Capital System Pulse

Across Tanzania’s markets

Six readings, each with its own date. Price and NAV changes do not establish capital flows.

Which ETF grew faster?

IEACLC +12.3%

DSE closing-price change, 2026-07-08 to 2026-10-09. VIS −3.0%. Not total return.

Share prices

Sector gains differed within Friday’s rise

Signal

Share-price measures rose on Friday. Commercial services rose faster than banks and industrial companies.

Evidence

Commercial services gained 0.68%, banks 0.17%, industrials 0.03%. These are weighted price changes, rounded from verified closes.

What to watch

Different company weights can affect each measure. These changes alone do not establish a common cause or investor confidence.

Currency

The dollar reference is provisional

Signal

Monday’s official dollar reference is provisional. It is a guide to currency values, not a price promised to customers.

Why it matters

The newer reference uses slightly fewer shillings per dollar than Friday’s final sheet. Its status can change when finalized.

What to watch

The final dated sheet would settle this comparison. Exchange providers may apply different prices and fees.

Opportunity Wire

A school plan is not yet operating capacity

Signal

The Citizen reports plans to build a GEMS school in Zanzibar. Planned places are not yet available to students.

Why it matters

Construction would add education facilities if completed. The report gives no investment amount or funding terms.

What to watch

A confirmed start, financing disclosure and opening date would clarify delivery. The 11 October report does not establish those dates.

What to watch

The next tests, without prediction

  1. Next verified DSE close

    Tests whether the rise continues and how sector price changes differ.

    Next official session; publication time unconfirmed

  2. Final 12 October BoT currency sheet

    Tests the provisional dollar reference against the final dated record.

    Publication time unconfirmed

  3. Zanzibar school funding and construction start

    Distinguishes a reported plan from funded construction and eventual operating capacity.

    No verified date in the 11 October report

Editor’s note

I distinguish Friday’s share-price rise from Monday’s provisional currency reference. Neither identifies why investors traded. I include the Zanzibar school plan as a separately dated report of possible new facilities, without treating a construction plan as committed funding or an operating school. I have not inferred a financing amount or opening date.

Information and education only, not advice or a forecast. DSE close: 9 October 2026. Other observations retain their own source dates.