Skip to content
KCP.

The Brief · Tuesday, 6 October 2026 · Vol. I · No. 276

Share prices fell while trading value barely changed

At Monday’s verified close the DSE All-Share fell 0.40% to 4,613.43 and the Tanzania Share Index 0.45% to 10,209.12. TZS 4.27bn of shares changed hands, almost exactly Friday’s total.

Covers 5 Oct 2026 verified close · Published 2026-10-06 · Read the lead · Soma kwa Kiswahili

The edition’s key figures

This edition in 60 seconds

  1. Market recordShare prices fell while trading value barely changedRead →
  2. Capital recordiGrowth led funds over three months; gold eased 0.9%Read →
  3. Policy recordThe dollar reference matches Monday’sRead →
  4. Opportunity WireJangwani Bridge deadline concerns delivery, not new fundingRead →

The lead · 5 Oct 2026 verified close

Why this close matters

Signal

Both main share-price measures fell on Monday. Almost the same amount of money changed hands as on Friday.

The evidence

DSE All-Share 4,613.43 (-0.40%); Tanzania Share Index 10,209.12 (-0.45%). Share trading value was TZS 4.27bn on both days, rounded.

What to watch

The next DSE report shows whether prices keep slipping on similar trading value.

Similar trading totals do not mean unchanged share prices. They also do not reveal why investors traded.

Close anatomy · 2026-10-05

Was the session’s fall broadly shared?

How widely did prices move?

6 rose · 8 fell

6 rose · 8 fell · 7 unchanged

21 of 28 listed shares traded; 7 had no trades.

DSE · 2026-10-05

Where did the money trade?

86.2% in three shares

CRDB 35.0% · NMB 28.6% · TCCL 22.6% · Others 13.8%

Share of equity turnover: TZS 4.27bn.

DSE · 2026-10-05
Largest rises
DSE+5.51%
NMG+4.76%
VODA+2.38%
Largest falls, traded shares
TTP-8.14%
MCB-4.05%
AFRIPRISE-2.01%
MBP-2.01%

KA showed -4.35% as a reference-price change with no DSE trades. It sits outside executed breadth and the faller list.

Index anatomy · Consecutive closes

Which shares explain the gap?

2 Oct 2026 to 5 Oct 2026. KCP market-cap decomposition, reconciled to the official index gap.

Index change · %

TSI · domestic−0.45%
DSEI · all−0.40%
−0.06 ppDomestic shares underperformed the full listed market.

Contribution to the index gap · pp

CRDB−0.14
VODA+0.07
KA+0.07
Others, net−0.06
Official index gap−0.06 pp

CRDB, VODA, KA have the largest absolute contributions, including offsetting effects. This is not a valuation judgment.

Method and limits

Domestic names: cap change divided by starting domestic cap, minus cap change divided by starting all-market cap. Cross-listed names: subtract the all-market component. KCP checks every company, the implied share basis and each cap-total/index relationship at every retained verified close in the period. This is not official DSE company attribution. Turnover does not enter the calculation. Incompatible basis changes withhold the calculation.

Contributions are rounded; small unallocated residual: 0.000048 pp. No balancing adjustment is applied.

Coverage: 28 companies. KCP classification dated 2026-09-03.

All contributions, percentage points
Sharepp
AFRIPRISE-0.002430
CRDB-0.144917
DCB-0.001065
DSE0.009255
EABL0.019591
JATU0.000000
JHL0.000000
KA0.070339
KCB0.000000
MBP-0.001332
MCB-0.004117
MKCB0.000000
MUCOBA0.000000
NICO0.000000
NMB-0.055486
NMG-0.007009
PAL0.000000
SWALA0.000000
SWIS0.000000
TBL0.003274
TCC-0.025523
TCCL0.010598
TOL0.000633
TPCC0.000000
TTP-0.003684
USL0.000000
VODA0.074573
YETU0.000000

Capital System Pulse

Across Tanzania’s markets

Six readings, each with its own date. Price and NAV changes do not establish capital flows.

Which ETF grew faster?

IEACLC +12.4%

DSE closing-price change, 2026-07-06 to 2026-10-05. VIS −4.5%. Not total return.

Policy record · Currency

The dollar reference matches Monday’s

Signal

One United States dollar has the same official shilling reference on 6 October as on 5 October.

Evidence

Bank of Tanzania mean: TZS 2,637.24 on both 5 and 6 October, rounded. Both observations are provisional, not customer exchange prices.

What to watch

The next dated currency sheet can establish a new comparison. Publication timing is unconfirmed.

Opportunity Wire

Jangwani Bridge deadline concerns delivery, not new funding

Signal

Daily News reports that the works minister told the Jangwani Bridge contractor to finish by the end of 2027.

Why it matters

Flooding interrupts this Dar es Salaam crossing. The instruction sets a delivery target; it does not establish completion or new funding.

What to watch

Construction progress and completion would test the target. The report gives no new financing amount.

What to watch

The next tests, without prediction

  1. Next DSE share-trading report

    Shows trading value and price changes on a new covered session.

    Next official session; publication timing unconfirmed

  2. Next Bank of Tanzania currency sheet

    Provides a comparison with the provisional 6 October dollar mean.

    Next dated sheet; timing unconfirmed

  3. Jangwani Bridge construction progress

    Would distinguish the minister’s deadline from completed transport works.

    Completion target: end of 2027; progress-report date unconfirmed

Editor’s note

I separate lower share-price measures from the money exchanged in shares. Trading value cannot tell me why investors traded. I include the reported Jangwani Bridge deadline because flooding can interrupt transport, while keeping the deadline distinct from completed work or a new funding commitment. The dollar reference retains its separate 6 October date.

Information and education only, not advice or a forecast. DSE close: 5 October 2026. Other observations retain their own source dates.