Skip to contentRuka hadi maudhui
KCP.KCP.

Gold · Tanzania transmission

What gold is doing for Tanzania

Follow gold through four distinct lenses: its global USD reference, the shilling translation, Tanzania’s reported export reading and the external reserve buffer. Different clocks remain visibly separate.

Four readings · two publication clocks

The signal, translated

World gold reference

USD 4,394

−4.9% from 22 Aug 2026 · Mining Commission world column.

World gold reference: 30 recent observed values; latest USD 4,394
Official source

As at · Source: Mining Commission of Tanzania

Gold translated into TZS

TZS 11.61m

KCP translation. The line stays close to world gold because USD/TZS was comparatively stable in this window.

Gold translated into TZS: 30 recent observed values; latest TZS 11.61m
KCP transformation

As at · Source: Mining Commission + BoT; KCP calculation

Gold-export growth

+37.4%

Latest verified year-on-year gold-export movement reported by the Bank of Tanzania.

Gold-export growth: 30 recent observed values; latest +37.4%
Official source

As at · Source: Bank of Tanzania Monthly Economic Review

Official FX reserves

USD 6.2bn

4.8 months of projected import cover.

Official FX reserves: 27 recent observed values; latest USD 6.2bn
Official source

As at · Source: Bank of Tanzania Monthly Economic Review

Price × currency

What moved the local-currency reference?

The same USD gold move can feel different in Tanzania when USD/TZS changes. Exact-date alignment keeps the two effects legible.

Was the local-currency gold move driven by the metal or the shilling?

Gold and the shilling, rebased

As at 21 Sep 2026 · Source: KCP transformation from Mining Commission and Bank of Tanzania observations. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

Observed window: 22 Aug 2026 to 21 Sep 2026. The multiplicative TZS result will not equal the simple sum exactly.

Export channel · external buffer

From export reading to reserve context

These are associated official indicators, not a causal bridge. The published observations do not establish that the latest gold-price move caused the reserve stock.

1 · Export reading

+37.4%

Gold exports, year on year · Jul 2026

2 · Reserve stock

$6.2bn

Gross official foreign-exchange reserves · Jul 2026

3 · Import cover

4.8months

Projected import cover · Jul 2026

How did reported gold exports change?

Reported gold-export value

Monthly primary-chart observations · Jan 2023 to Jul 2026

Each point is the rolling 12-month gold-export value printed in one MER edition’s primary exports chart. The latest YoY uses that edition’s prior-year bar; no cross-vintage joins or monthly-flow inference.

As at Jul 2026 · Source: Bank of Tanzania Monthly Economic Review. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

Complete evidence record · 43 points
Reported gold-export value; evidence values at the full supplied precision.
ObservationGold-export value
2023-012.904 USD bn
2023-022.8596 USD bn
2023-032.8773 USD bn
2023-042.8469 USD bn
2023-052.8839 USD bn
2023-062.9092 USD bn
2023-072.9392 USD bn
2023-082.9518 USD bn
2023-092.9838 USD bn
2023-102.9877 USD bn
2023-113.0345 USD bn
2023-123.0589 USD bn
2024-013.0759 USD bn
2024-023.1088 USD bn
2024-033.1007 USD bn
2024-043.1335 USD bn
2024-053.1156 USD bn
2024-063.1218 USD bn
2024-073.1479 USD bn
2024-083.1894 USD bn
2024-093.2638 USD bn
2024-103.3089 USD bn
2024-113.3209 USD bn
2024-123.3697 USD bn
2025-013.4656 USD bn
2025-023.6608 USD bn
2025-033.7722 USD bn
2025-043.9007 USD bn
2025-053.8355 USD bn
2025-063.8045 USD bn
2025-073.9779 USD bn
2025-084.3223 USD bn
2025-094.4312 USD bn
2025-104.5965 USD bn
2025-114.7198 USD bn
2025-124.6976 USD bn
2026-014.9007 USD bn
2026-024.9684 USD bn
2026-035.2228 USD bn
2026-045.2689 USD bn
2026-055.5323 USD bn
2026-065.5229 USD bn
2026-075.6707 USD bn

Reference mechanics

The ~12% relationship is a rule to explain, not a score

Current world and buying-centre reference relationship

USD 1.00World reference

USD 0.88Same-unit buying-centre equivalent

This is a structural reference relationship. KCP converts the source-native TZS-per-gram relationship into the world column’s unit for comparability. It is not evidence of underperformance, an executable arbitrage or a mine-gate transaction price.

KCP transformation

As at · Source: Mining Commission of Tanzania; KCP same-unit conversion

Dated policy context

The central-bank purchase programme

A Bank of Tanzania notice dated 1 October 2024 described world-market pricing, a 20% allocation, 4% royalty, zero inspection fee and BoT-funded refining for its domestic gold purchase programme. These are dated notice terms, not a guarantee of today’s execution.

Read the 1 October 2024 BoT notice →

Other mineral references

Which reference moved most on the same dates?

Which official mineral references moved most over the common exact-date window?

World-reference change over the shared window

As at 21 Sep 2026 · Source: KCP transformation from Mining Commission world-reference observations. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

Regulated fuel caps · 2026-09

Dar es Salaam petrol cap: TZS 3,796 / litre

EWURA publishes monthly maximum retail caps. A cap is a regulated ceiling, not a traded commodity price or a forecast.

Inspect the fuel record →

Wholesale crops · 2026-08-24

Maize median: TZS 74,500 / 100kg

The national figure is a bulletin-derived median across reporting district markets. Publication is event-driven, and coverage counts remain attached.

Inspect the crop record →