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Permanent edition · Vol. I · No. 185

The Brief

Saturday, 4 July 2026

A frozen reading of Tanzania's markets, capital and policy. Figures remain bound to their stated observations; this archive never inherits a newer market tape.

DSE All-Share

4,116.73

As at DSEI · 3 Jul close · record

USD / TZS

2,626

As at −6.1% YTD

Gold · $/oz

$4,054

As at 2 Jul BoT ref · −14% Q2

BoT rate

6.25%

As at CBR · Q3 2026

Inflation

4.2%

As at May · range top

This edition in 60 seconds

  1. 01DSE All-Share caps a record week at 4,116.73 with a third straight all-time high
  2. 02364-day bill clears above 7% at auction No. 1202 as the front end keeps falling
  3. 03Samia courts vaccine investors as medicines self-sufficiency gets a recruitment drive

Capital Markets

DSE All-Share caps a record week at 4,116.73 with a third straight all-time high

Signal

The verified DSE All-Share closed 3 Jul at a record 4,116.73, +0.65%; the Tanzania Share Index rose 0.96% to 8,997.09.

Why it matters

A third consecutive record close caps the fiscal-year opening week, with the domestic index outpacing the broad board as breadth widens beyond banks.

What to watch

Whether week-27 turnover sustains the surge and the domestic-led breadth carries into the new week.

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

As at 3 Jul 2026 · Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

Rates

364-day bill clears above 7% at auction No. 1202 as the front end keeps falling

Signal

Auction No. 1202 (2 Jul) cleared the 91-day at 3.4549%, down from 3.5569%, and the 364-day at 7.1175%, +20bp on the prior auction.

Why it matters

A one-year yield above 7% while the front end falls says the curve is pricing more long-end supply as the borrowing programme opens; durable steepening.

What to watch

Auction No. 1203 (~mid-Jul): whether the 364-day WAR holds above 7% as budget spending steps up.

Policy

Samia courts vaccine investors as medicines self-sufficiency gets a recruitment drive

Signal

President Samia courted vaccine investors, putting an industrial-policy recruitment drive behind 60% medicines self-sufficiency by 2030.

Why it matters

Pharma and medical supplies is the first named Vision-era vertical with dated deliverables; a template for how the USD 1tn ambition becomes projects.

What to watch

Financeable project pipelines and named investors in the pharma vertical ahead of the 17 Jul Vision 2050 launch.

Source: Open-source reporting · first seen 2026-07-04

Go deeper

Capital Markets

Zanzibar passes a TZS 8.52tn budget targeting 7.5% growth; and its own stock exchange

Signal

Zanzibar's TZS 8.52tn budget targets 7.5% growth and commits to establishing the isles' own stock exchange.

Why it matters

A second listing venue inside the Union would be the biggest capital-markets structural change since DSE demutualisation; early-stage but material.

What to watch

Enabling legislation and a timetable for the Zanzibar exchange, and how new listings would interact with the DSE.

Source: Open-source reporting · first seen 2026-07-04

Go deeper

Macro

AfDB pencils in 5.4% growth for 2026 against the government's 6.3% target

Signal

The AfDB's African Economic Outlook 2026 projects Tanzania growth of 5.4% for 2026 versus the government's 6.3% target; a ~0.9pt gap.

Why it matters

The gap is the credibility variable for FYDP IV: revenue, borrowing and project cadence are all budgeted off the higher number.

What to watch

Q1/Q2 GDP outturns and whether early budget-execution data track the 6.3% plan or the 5.4% projection.

Source: Open-source reporting · first seen 2026-07-04

Go deeper

The Ghost · edition context

The model-book allocation read

The Ghost's hypothetical TZS 500m book is +2.80% since inception, with NMB Bank its largest equity position.

Open the current Ghost tracker →

What this edition watched

  1. June CPI print & BoT Q3 MPC decision

    ~8 to 15 Jul 2026

  2. BoT T-bill auction No. 1203

    ~mid-Jul 2026

  3. Vision 2050 formal launch, Dodoma

    17 Jul 2026

  4. ~USD 42bn LNG host-government agreement

    Jun to Jul 2026

Compiled from open-source reporting for information and education only; not investment advice. Equity and index figures reconcile to the Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange verified close (3 Jul 2026); rates, FX and gold to the Bank of Tanzania. Figures are as reported and require refresh against official data.