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Permanent edition · Vol. I · No. 205

The Brief

Friday, 24 July 2026

A frozen reading of Tanzania's markets, capital and policy. Figures remain bound to their stated observations; this archive never inherits a newer market tape.

DSE All-Share

4,112.64

As at DSEI · 23 Jul close · latest verified

USD / TZS

2,637

As at BoT mean · 23 Jul · essentially flat

Gold · $/oz

$4,057

As at BoT reference · 22 Jul sheet

BoT rate

6.25%

As at CBR · Q3 2026

Inflation

4.0%

As at NBS · June 2026 headline

This edition in 60 seconds

  1. 01The rise broadens into industrials and services; but CRDB carries more than half the money
  2. 02Industrials and services take the baton as both headline indices rise for a second session
  3. 03CRDB carries 55.8% of a TZS 5.57bn session

Verified close

The rise broadens into industrials and services; but CRDB carries more than half the money

Signal

Thursday closed at 4,112.64 (+0.26%) and 9,005.34 (+0.37%) on TZS 5.57bn; CRDB carried 55.8% of turnover.

Why it matters

Industrial & Allied and Commercial Services rose 45.5 and 48.4 points, but 9 decliners still outnumbered 8 advancers.

What to watch

Whether concentration normalises and the 8 counters that did not trade return to Friday's tape.

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

As at 23 Jul 2026 · Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

Equities

Industrials and services take the baton as both headline indices rise for a second session

Signal

4,112.64 rose 0.26% and 9,005.34 0.37%; Industrial & Allied added 45.5 points and Commercial Services 48.4.

Why it matters

Leadership moved beyond Wednesday's bank-led turn, although the board remained mixed at 8 advancers, 9 decliners and 11 unchanged.

What to watch

Whether sector leadership persists with broader participation and less single-name concentration.

Tape

CRDB carries 55.8% of a TZS 5.57bn session

Signal

CRDB traded TZS 3.11bn; NMB TZS 861m and TCCL TZS 701m. Together, the three names carried 83.8% of turnover.

Why it matters

The tape was below its recent held-session median and concentrated, so the index rise did not reflect evenly distributed activity.

What to watch

Whether CRDB's share normalises and the 8 counters absent from Thursday's tape return.

FX

USD/TZS holds near 2,637 as the 23 July BoT sheet arrives

Signal

The BoT indicative mean was TZS 2,637.13 per US dollar on 23 Jul, against TZS 2,636.77 on 22 Jul.

Why it matters

The daily move was negligible, leaving local- and hard-currency readings of Thursday's market session nearly aligned.

What to watch

The 28 to 29 Jul FOMC and whether the next BoT sheets move beyond the week's narrow range.

Rates

The 10-year point refreshes at 10.87% while the front end remains below policy

Signal

BoT's latest 10-year auction point is 10.87% on 22 Jul; 91-day and 364-day bill WARs remain 3.3472% and 7.0258%.

Why it matters

The curve still shows short bills well below the 6.25% CBR while the longer government tenor carries a higher funding cost.

What to watch

Auction No. 1204 around 29 Jul is inferred, not official: the 91-day WAR and bid-to-cover are the next tests.

The Ghost · edition context

The model-book allocation read

The Ghost's hypothetical TZS 500m model book is +4.65% since inception at its 23 Jul mark. VODA rose 2.5% and CRDB 0.37%, while NMB and TCC were unchanged; the session helped the bank-and-telecom-weighted book, but CRDB concentration made the tape less broad than the index move.

Open the current Ghost tracker →

What this edition watched

  1. DSE participation after the CRDB-led session

    Thursday had 8 advancers, 9 decliners and 8 counters with no trade; breadth and concentration are the next verified tests.

    Fri 24 Jul 2026 close

  2. T-bill auction No. 1204 (expected)

    The 91-day WAR remains about 290bp below the CBR; the next yield and bid-to-cover will show whether that gap persists.

    ~29 Jul 2026 (inferred cadence, not an official BoT date)

  3. US FOMC decision

    The dollar-rate backdrop is the nearest dated external event for USD/TZS, which held near 2,637 on the 23 Jul BoT sheet.

    28 to 29 Jul 2026

  4. NBS July CPI · EWURA fuel cap

    June headline inflation eased to 4.0%, while transport ran 13.6% y/y; the next releases test that divergence.

    early Aug 2026

  5. US$2.7bn Tabora to Kigoma SGR award; primary confirmation

    The contract remains press-reported; primary confirmation and financing terms are required before it is counted as verified capex.

    coming weeks (unscheduled)

Compiled from public sources for information and education only; not investment advice, and not a forecast. Equity and index figures reconcile to the Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange verified close (23 Jul 2026); rates, FX and gold to the Bank of Tanzania; inflation to the NBS. The current Wire handoff contained no primary-grade candidate, so no unverified headline was promoted as fact. The US$2.7bn Tabora to Kigoma SGR award remains press-reported pending primary confirmation. The ~29 Jul auction is an inferred cadence, not an official BoT calendar entry. For live market updates see Markets.