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Weekly visual edition · Vol. I · No. 246

The Weekly Brief

Saturday, 5 September 2026

A frozen reading of Tanzania's markets, capital and policy. Figures remain bound to their stated observations; this archive never inherits a newer market tape.

DSE All-Share

4,523.81

As at DSEI · 4 Sep close · daily move

Tanzania Share Index

9,826.80

As at TSI · 4 Sep close · daily move

USD / TZS

2,637.53

As at BoT mean · 5 Sep sheet

BoT rate

6.25%

As at CBR · Q3 2026

Inflation

4.2%

As at NBS · July 2026 headline

This edition in 90 seconds

  1. 01The broad market rose while Tanzania-listed shares ended lower
  2. 02DSEI gained 1.78% while TSI lost 0.98%
  3. 03Five sessions carried TZS 86.391bn in equity turnover

The week in review

The broad market rose while Tanzania-listed shares ended lower

Signal

DSEI ended at 4,523.81, 1.78% above 28 August. TSI ended at 9,826.80, 0.98% below 28 August. Five verified sessions recorded TZS 86.391bn in equity turnover.

Why it matters

The two indices cover different groups of shares, so the opposite moves show that the week was not uniform across the market.

What to watch

The next verified sessions will test whether domestic shares recover and whether trading value remains concentrated in a few counters.

The visual flagship · seven linked lenses

One week. One market story. Seven ways to test it.

Start with DSEI versus TSI, then test the money, breadth, rates, currency, hypothetical model-book terrain and household transmission chain. Every lens stays frozen to this edition's stated observations.

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

As at 4 Sep 2026 · Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

02 · Turnover concentration

How much traded, and how much did one counter carry?

The week’s money had 5 very different shapes.

As at 2026-09-04
Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange

Session turnover Leading counter shareExplainTurnover concentrationShare of turnover in the leading counterTurnover concentration is the share of total traded value accounted for by one counter or a stated group of counters.How it is calculatedSelected counter turnover ÷ total session turnover × 100.What it does not meanA high share does not establish unusual demand, fair value or repeatable liquidity.Source or method: KCP calculation from DSE traded valueSee it in contextOpen the full glossaryDefinition only · information and education, not advice

86.39bn shillings traded across 5 sessions, but the darker segment shows why activity and breadth are different questions.

03 · Breadth map

Did the board move with the headline?

12 advanced. 8 declined. The index hid the split.

As at 2026-09-04
Source: DSE verified close history

12 upExplainDirectional breadthShare of moving counters that advancedDirectional breadth is the share of counters with a price move that advanced rather than declined.How it is calculatedAdvancers ÷ (advancers + decliners). Unchanged and non-trading counters are excluded.What it does not meanIt is not the share of all listed counters, and it says nothing about how much money traded in each name.Source or method: KCP calculation from DSE close countsSee it in contextOpen the full glossaryDefinition only · information and education, not advice8 down= 8 unchanged

Only counters with a close inside the weekly window and a prior comparable close enter this map. Names without an in-window print are excluded, not labelled unchanged.

04 · Rates hurdle

What did safe local-currency paper yield?

The short end sat below policy; the 364-day point cleared it.

As at 2026-08-26
Source: Bank of Tanzania

Central Bank Rate6.25%
2026-09-04
91D3.40%
2026-08-26
182D5.05%
2026-08-26
364D6.65%
2026-08-26

The comparison is a hurdle-rate lens, not a ranking or recommendation. Tenor, duration, liquidity and reinvestment remain different across the instruments shown.

05 · Local vs hard currency

What remained after translating the week through USD/TZS?

A softer shilling reduced, but did not erase; the index gains.

As at 2026-09-04
Source: DSE and Bank of Tanzania

DSEI

Local-currency index change+1.78%
Mechanical USD translation+1.88%

TSI

Local-currency index change−0.98%
Mechanical USD translation−0.89%

USD/TZS weakened -0.09% over the matched weekly window. The hard-currency line is (1 + local index change) ÷ (1 + FX change) − 1; it is an index translation, not an investable portfolio return, and excludes dividends, costs and tax.

06 · Ghost terrain impact

Which evidence changed the hypothetical model-book risk map?

The week changed the terrain, not the mandate.

As at 2026-09-04
Source: KCP Weekly Brief and stated public authorities

The Ghost is a hypothetical educational model book. This panel explains terrain impact on its model-book allocation; it is not a signal, instruction or recommendation.

07 · Cost-of-living chain

How can currency pressure travel toward the household basket?

Four clocks. One transmission chain. No forecast.

As at 2026-09-04
Source: BoT · EWURA · MIT · NBS

Each link keeps its own authority and observation clock. The layout shows plausible transmission channels; it does not claim that one observation caused the next.

Index direction

DSEI gained 1.78% while TSI lost 0.98%

Signal

DSEI ended at 4,523.81, 1.78% above 28 August. TSI ended at 9,826.80, 0.98% below 28 August.

Why it matters

DSEI includes the broader exchange, while TSI tracks Tanzania-listed shares. Their split means one headline could not describe every market segment.

What to watch

What carries forward: whether the two official indices move back in the same direction during the next complete week.

Source: DSE official index history, 28 August and 4 September 2026 · first seen 2026-09-04

Go deeper

Weekly trading value

Five sessions carried TZS 86.391bn in equity turnover

Signal

Equity turnover, the value of shares traded, totalled TZS 86.391bn across five verified sessions. Thursday supplied TZS 42.930bn of that amount.

Why it matters

One session supplied almost half of the week's value. The complete total is valid, but it does not show evenly distributed activity.

What to watch

What carries forward: whether the next week keeps a similar total without depending on one unusually large session.

Source: DSE verified session history, 31 August to 4 September 2026 · first seen 2026-09-04

Go deeper

Trading participation

Advancing observations outnumbered declines across the week

Signal

Market breadth counts how many traded counters rose, fell or stayed unchanged. The five sessions recorded 45 advances, 37 declines and 18 unchanged observations.

Why it matters

These are session observations, not 100 different companies. They show the balance of daily participation without implying that every rising counter traded heavily.

What to watch

What carries forward: whether advances continue to outnumber declines and whether turnover becomes broader at the same time.

Source: DSE executed-counter history, 31 August to 4 September 2026 · first seen 2026-09-04

Go deeper

Company endpoints

NMG led gains while PAL recorded the largest decline

Signal

NMG rose 23.64% and KCB rose 11.56% from Friday to Friday. PAL fell 12.86% and MBP fell 6.94%.

Why it matters

Endpoint price changes show direction, not how easily each share traded. Volume and order-book depth must be checked separately.

What to watch

What carries forward: whether the largest moves retain trading support in the next verified sessions.

Source: DSE official close history, 28 August and 4 September 2026 · first seen 2026-09-04

Go deeper

Government securities

The 10-year Treasury bond auction yield reached 10.69%

Signal

The 10-year auction yield was 10.69% on 2 September. That was 0.30 percentage points above the prior same-tenor auction.

Why it matters

The yield is the annual rate implied by the auction price. It does not guarantee every saver the same result after access rules, fees or tax.

What to watch

What carries forward: the next official 10-year auction result and its dated demand evidence.

FX and gold

The shilling strengthened slightly while gold ended lower

Signal

The BoT USD/TZS mean fell 0.09% from 28 August to 4 September. The Mining Commission gold reference fell 2.34% over the same dates.

Why it matters

A lower USD/TZS mean indicates a slightly stronger shilling. The two source-price changes use different markets and do not prove a shared cause.

What to watch

What carries forward: whether the next official observations extend either move on the same source basis.

The Ghost · edition context

The model-book allocation read

The Ghost remains a hypothetical education layer at +12.68% since inception. The week changed the evidence terrain through split index direction, uneven turnover and a higher 10-year auction yield, not through a uniform market signal.

Open the current Ghost tracker →

What this edition watched

  1. DSE index direction

    Test whether DSEI and TSI return to the same direction.

    Next verified sessions

  2. Weekly turnover distribution

    Test whether trading value remains dependent on one large session.

    Friday, 11 September

  3. Executed market breadth

    Check whether advances keep outnumbering declines alongside broader trading value.

    Next complete week

  4. BoT 10-year bond auction

    Compare the next same-tenor yield and demand evidence on their own dates.

    Next official auction

Information and education only. This Weekly Brief covers five verified DSE sessions from 31 Aug to 4 Sep 2026 and is frozen to the verified close (4 Sep 2026). Weekly turnover and executed-breadth figures are complete for that window; Friday concentration remains session-only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation or a solicitation. For live market updates, see Markets.