Skip to contentRuka hadi maudhui
KCP.KCP.

Weekly visual edition · Vol. I · No. 253

The Weekly Brief

Saturday, 12 September 2026

A frozen reading of Tanzania's markets, capital and policy. Figures remain bound to their stated observations; this archive never inherits a newer market tape.

DSE All-Share

4,658.31

As at DSEI · 11 Sep close · daily move

Tanzania Share Index

10,400.36

As at TSI · 11 Sep close · daily move

USD / TZS

2,638.16

As at BoT mean · 12 Sep sheet

BoT rate

6.25%

As at CBR · Q3 2026

Inflation

4.3%

As at NBS · August 2026 headline

This edition in 90 seconds

  1. 01Share indices rose as less money changed hands
  2. 02Domestic shares led a week of rising indices
  3. 03Trading value fell even as both indices rose

The week in review

Share indices rose as less money changed hands

Signal

Friday close: DSEI 4,658.31, TSI 10,400.36. Weekly trading value: TZS 61.068bn.

Why it matters

Higher indices did not establish deeper trading.

What to watch

Next week: 18 September.

The visual flagship · seven linked lenses

One week. One market story. Seven ways to test it.

Start with DSEI versus TSI, then test the money, breadth, rates, currency, hypothetical model-book terrain and household transmission chain. Every lens stays frozen to this edition's stated observations.

Did the domestic market and the headline index move together or apart over the covered quarter?

The domestic market against the headline index

As at 11 Sep 2026 · Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. Exact values and method remain in the static evidence table below.

02 · Turnover concentration

How much traded, and how much did one counter carry?

The week’s money had 5 very different shapes.

As at 2026-09-11
Source: Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange

Session turnover Leading counter shareExplainTurnover concentrationShare of turnover in the leading counterTurnover concentration is the share of total traded value accounted for by one counter or a stated group of counters.How it is calculatedSelected counter turnover ÷ total session turnover × 100.What it does not meanA high share does not establish unusual demand, fair value or repeatable liquidity.Source or method: KCP calculation from DSE traded valueSee it in contextOpen the full glossaryDefinition only · information and education, not advice

61.07bn shillings traded across 5 sessions, but the darker segment shows why activity and breadth are different questions.

03 · Breadth map

Did the board move with the headline?

10 advanced. 10 declined. The index hid the split.

As at 2026-09-11
Source: DSE verified close history

10 upExplainDirectional breadthShare of moving counters that advancedDirectional breadth is the share of counters with a price move that advanced rather than declined.How it is calculatedAdvancers ÷ (advancers + decliners). Unchanged and non-trading counters are excluded.What it does not meanIt is not the share of all listed counters, and it says nothing about how much money traded in each name.Source or method: KCP calculation from DSE close countsSee it in contextOpen the full glossaryDefinition only · information and education, not advice10 down= 8 unchanged

Only counters with a close inside the weekly window and a prior comparable close enter this map. Names without an in-window print are excluded, not labelled unchanged.

04 · Rates hurdle

What did safe local-currency paper yield?

The short end sat below policy; the 364-day point cleared it.

As at 2026-09-09
Source: Bank of Tanzania

Central Bank Rate6.25%
2026-09-11
91D3.42%
2026-09-09
182D4.92%
2026-09-09
364D6.47%
2026-09-09

The comparison is a hurdle-rate lens, not a ranking or recommendation. Tenor, duration, liquidity and reinvestment remain different across the instruments shown.

05 · Local vs hard currency

What remained after translating the week through USD/TZS?

A softer shilling reduced, but did not erase; the index gains.

As at 2026-09-11
Source: DSE and Bank of Tanzania

DSEI

Local-currency index change+2.97%
Mechanical USD translation+2.96%

TSI

Local-currency index change+5.84%
Mechanical USD translation+5.82%

USD/TZS weakened 0.02% over the matched weekly window. The hard-currency line is (1 + local index change) ÷ (1 + FX change) − 1; it is an index translation, not an investable portfolio return, and excludes dividends, costs and tax.

06 · Ghost terrain impact

Which evidence changed the hypothetical model-book risk map?

The week changed the terrain, not the mandate.

As at 2026-09-11
Source: KCP Weekly Brief and stated public authorities

The Ghost is a hypothetical educational model book. This panel explains terrain impact on its model-book allocation; it is not a signal, instruction or recommendation.

07 · Cost-of-living chain

How can currency pressure travel toward the household basket?

Four clocks. One transmission chain. No forecast.

As at 2026-09-11
Source: BoT · EWURA · MIT · NBS

Each link keeps its own authority and observation clock. The layout shows plausible transmission channels; it does not claim that one observation caused the next.

Index direction

Domestic shares led a week of rising indices

Signal

Both official share indices rose. DSEI gained 2.97% and TSI gained 5.84% from 4 to 11 September.

Why it matters

TSI tracks domestic listings. Its larger rise showed that the domestic market outpaced the broader index during this window.

What to watch

Next verified index comparison.

Source: DSE official index endpoints, 4 and 11 September 2026 · first seen 2026-09-11

Go deeper

Trading value

Trading value fell even as both indices rose

Signal

Five sessions recorded TZS 61.068bn in traded shares. This was 29.31% below the preceding five-session week.

Why it matters

Higher indices did not mean more money changed hands. Traded shares recorded 42 advances, 33 declines and 28 unchanged observations. These count each company separately each day, not distinct companies.

What to watch

Next complete trading week.

Source: DSE verified session records, 31 August to 11 September 2026 · first seen 2026-09-11

Go deeper

Government securities

Longer Treasury bills carried higher published yields

Signal

The 9 September auction reported annual yields of 2.29%, 3.42%, 4.92% and 6.47% across the four tenors.

Why it matters

Yield expresses income relative to price on an annual basis. The comparison spans different maturities; it is not four interchangeable products.

What to watch

Next official auction result.

Currency

The official shilling comparison changed little

Signal

The BoT mean moved from TZS 2,638.9608 to 2,637.9658 per US dollar between the two Fridays. That was a 0.04% decline.

Why it matters

A lower USD/TZS quote means fewer shillings per dollar. This small reference-rate move is distinct from a bank customer’s actual conversion rate.

What to watch

Next dated BoT exchange-rate sheet.

Prices

Headline inflation rose; food inflation slowed

Signal

July to August: headline inflation 4.2% to 4.3%; food inflation 4.1% to 3.7%, year on year.

Why it matters

Food prices rose more slowly. They did not fall.

What to watch

Next monthly NBS CPI release.

Source: NBS CPI, August 2026, released 8 September · first seen 2026-09-11

Go deeper

The Ghost · edition context

The model-book allocation read

Hypothetical Ghost: +16.89% since inception, marked 11 September.

Open the current Ghost tracker →

What this edition watched

  1. Trading value and participation

    Compare five complete sessions.

    Friday, 18 September

  2. Bill auction

    Compare the same maturity.

    Next official auction

Education only, not investment advice or a solicitation. Covered close: 11 Sep 2026. Weekly index endpoints: 4 and 11 September. Trading window: 7 to 11 September.