The recorded decision
Open ~4%20 June 2026 · 4 min read- Action
- Open ~4%
- Sleeve
- Commodities · Gold
- Funded from
- Cash
- Book NAV
- TSh 514.0m
- Since inception
- ▲ 2.79%
Frozen to the dated public record · observed figures are not silently replaced by later closes.
Why gold, and why now
Gold is Tanzania's largest export. It underwrites the shilling and the country's external account — the metal sitting behind the balance sheet of the economy the whole book invests in. Owning a little of it is less a trade than a reserve: a hedge against equity drawdown and FX drift, held for what it protects rather than what it might return.
This is the first commodity step the mandate always allowed — the gold-led sleeve, capped small at nought-to-eight percent. The Ghost opens it now, while it's cheap in conviction terms, not later when a scare makes everyone want it at once.
Model-book context: the Ghost reads gold off the live commodities board · the shilling link sits on forex. Educational only.
A starter sleeve, funded from cash
The Ghost trims cash — its dry powder — to open a small notional gold position, roughly four percent of the book. Sized deliberately light: enough to matter as a hedge, not so much that it competes with the equity engine or the fixed-income anchor for the book's real work.
Honest attribution: this sleeve is newly opened and has no performance history yet. It does not appear in the contribution bridge because it has contributed nothing so far — and won't, retroactively. What it does from here will show up in future marks, dated, either way. null > fabricated, always.
What would change the size
- 01Add signal: shilling pressure or external-account stress that strengthens the reserve case — the moment a hedge earns more room.
- 02Trim signal: real yields rising far enough that the fixed-income anchor simply pays more to wait than the hedge is worth holding.
- 03The tell: whether gold keeps behaving as the shilling's backstop, or global risk appetite starts pulling it around instead.
Decision principle“Own a little of the metal that underwrites the shilling — before you need it, not after.”
Inspect the terrain behind the chapter.
Source: DSE daily report (marks) · KCP Ghost decision ledger as at the June 2026 close Verified Confidence: High Marks reconcile to the verified Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange close; allocation figures come from the Ghost’s own ledger. Hypothetical & educational — never advice. Methodology